Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.192435 0.229573 0.271292 0.321532 0.380291 0.446735 0.527457
2025-03-16 0.131348 0.176840 0.233759 0.309804 0.408287 0.531018 0.694994
2025-03-23 0.104484 0.153897 0.220832 0.317269 0.451623 0.630968 0.887040
2025-03-30 0.086345 0.137122 0.210597 0.323244 0.489798 0.724788 1.078597
2025-04-06 0.070915 0.120501 0.196611 0.319896 0.511945 0.796280 1.244461
2025-04-13 0.059369 0.107319 0.184969 0.317147 0.532891 0.866270 1.413436
2025-04-20 0.052730 0.100763 0.182361 0.327508 0.574362 0.970359 1.643565
2025-04-27 0.050474 0.101273 0.191259 0.357567 0.650628 1.136096 1.986574
2025-05-04 0.045969 0.096820 0.190706 0.370875 0.699583 1.261393 2.274688
2025-05-11 0.039637 0.087718 0.180307 0.364869 0.713542 1.328381 2.469902
2025-05-18 0.033311 0.077474 0.166165 0.349758 0.708750 1.361506 2.608235
2025-05-25 0.027873 0.068083 0.152238 0.332985 0.698429 1.382913 2.726366
2025-06-01 0.025675 0.065595 0.152350 0.345017 0.746501 1.518786 3.071990
2025-06-08 0.021685 0.058266 0.141178 0.332281 0.744011 1.559547 3.244161
2025-06-15 0.019815 0.055634 0.139833 0.340231 0.784533 1.686904 3.593804
2025-06-22 0.018062 0.052947 0.137930 0.346604 0.822270 1.811951 3.949617
2025-06-29 0.015934 0.048851 0.132054 0.343032 0.837818 1.892975 4.223361
2025-07-06 0.014123 0.045243 0.126785 0.340100 0.854288 1.977130 4.510482
2025-07-13 0.013209 0.043995 0.127265 0.351153 0.903954 2.136329 4.968869
2025-07-20 0.013296 0.045722 0.135735 0.383213 1.006291 2.418753 5.714158
2025-07-27 0.012579 0.044863 0.137159 0.397404 1.067186 2.614330 6.285049
2025-08-03 0.011147 0.041448 0.131036 0.391000 1.076908 2.695245 6.608039
2025-08-10 0.009565 0.037179 0.121795 0.374887 1.060372 2.714063 6.792027